cn|2 poll: Beshear thumping Williams by 29, Dems sweeping down ballot

This bloodbath of a gubernatorial race is getting too ugly to look at without making a face (or, depending on your point of view, giving you an overdose of schadenfreude).

Here’s the latest carnage from cn|2:

Steve Beshear — 54 percent
David Williams — 25 percent
Gatewood Galbraith — 7 percent

That would be Steve Beshear easily doubling David Williams. Williams’ 25 percent of the vote in this poll is just 3 percent higher than GOP gubernatorial candidate Peppy Martin’s 22 percent finish in the 1999 race. Beshear also has a higher favorability rating among conservatives and Republicans than Williams.

Carnage.

But the down ballot races are where the only drama is going to be this November, and cn|2′s results are dramatically different than the PPP poll released earlier this week. Here’s what cn|2 finds:

Attorney General
Jack Conway — 53
Todd P’Pool — 26

Secretary of State
Alison Lundergan Grimes — 37
Bill Johnson — 28

Auditor
Adam Edelen — 32
John Kemper — 29

Commissioner of Agriculture
Bob Farmer — 45
Jamie Comer — 26

Treasurer
Todd Hollenbach — 43
KC Crosbie — 21
Ken Moellman — 5

With Williams looking hopeless, conventional wisdom now says that the attorney general race is the biggest show in town, if not the only show. But whereas Conway was only up 11 percent with less than 50 percent of the vote in the PPP poll, cn|2 shows a 27 percent blowout. Obviously, one of these polls is very wrong… and we venture to guess it’s cn|2 at this point, but who knows? Whereas cn|2′s numbers are similar to PPP in the auditor, secretary of state and treasurer race, the commissioner of agriculture race varies wildly, with Farmer up 19 percent instead of down by 1.

Oddly enough, the attorney general and commissioner of agriculture races are the only ones that most people think the Republicans have a shot in, so these results must be giving them either heartburn or a case of denial (whether justified or not).

Don’t be surprised to see the P’Pool campaign release an “internal poll” soon the push back against these bad numbers, which could frighten away contributors or independent expenditure groups from throwing money into the race. Everyone assumed that shadowy, outside groups would be pouring money into Kentucky for Williams and attacking Beshear, but you can 99.9 percent rule that out now. What you’re likely going to see are those same people/groups throwing money in Kentucky to attack Jack Conway and elect Todd P’Pool. The attorney general race will probably be the biggest race in the country this November, and Mitch McConnell is dead set on beating Conway, so get ready for some vicious attack ads in that race over the next two months.

2 Comments

  1. Roberto Syta
    Posted October 18, 2013 at 3:38 am | Permalink

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    Posted October 29, 2013 at 3:06 am | Permalink

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