Internal Massie poll shows him leading; Rand Paul endorsement remains internal

The day after former Sen. Jim Bunning was wheeled out to endorse Alecia Webb-Edgington for Congress, along with current office holder Rep. Geoff Davis, Thomas Massie has promptly released this internal poll showing him leading the Republican primary for the 4th District seat:

Thomas Massie- 32 percent
Alecia Webb-Edgington- 22 percent
Gary Moore- 17 percent
Other 4 candidates- low single digits
Undecided- 21 percent

Assuming our trusty “internal poll curve,” we’d guess that Massie likely has a very small lead right now, which doesn’t surprise us in the least. Considering that the Tea Party is likely to make up a large percentage of the vote on primary day — with the presidential race locked up at this point — and that the two establishment GOP candidates (Webb-Edgington and Moore) will split their votes, we stand by our original prediction that Massie is the favorite to win on May 22.

Nevertheless, one action that could easily deliver him a blowout victory is an endorsement by Tea Party Overlord and plugged toilet advocate Rand Paul. Even though Massie helped out Paul when he was running for Senate, Paul has not returned the favor, just as he didn’t with Phil Moffett in last year’s GOP gubernatorial primary.

And as the AP reported today, Rand Paul continues to hide behind his surrogates in the race, though he does throw out a very random vague threat to… well, we’re not sure who to:

Paul’s chief of staff, Doug Stafford, told The Associated Press on Tuesday that the Kentucky Republican wasn’t pleased that incumbent U.S. Rep. Geoff Davis and former U.S. Sen. Jim Bunning endorsed state lawmaker Alecia Webb-Edgington for the job.

“Sen. Paul had decided to stay neutral in the primary in order to keep the playing field level for all the candidates,” Stafford said. “But with others seeking to influence the race, Sen. Paul is now reconsidering his decision, and he’ll be closely watching the race and how other people participate in it.”

You’d figure that Paul — straight-shooter that he is — would just come out and say who he thinks would make the best Tea Party Apprentice in Congress, instead of playing games like this with his surrogates. But maybe that was the Paul of 2010, and that guy might be long gone.

And who is Rand Paul “closely watching”? Davis, a lame duck congressman? Has-been Jim Bunning? (OK, we’ll admit that watching Bunning is useful, because the guy is pure entertainment.) Mitch McConnell? David Williams (who is all about some Gary Moore)?

Or will he just stick with watching the Illuminati, UN black helicopters and Interpol for us, so we don’t have to?

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  1. [...] Rand Paul said he was going to be “closely watching” the behavior of others when deciding if he endorses Thomas Massie in this race, we were [...]