We’re now in a seven-day sprint to the finish line, with Kentucky’s primary day on May 22.
Here’s a quick forecast/breakdown/update of some of the primary races you’ll see on the ballot in Louisville on Tuesday:
U.S. House of Representatives
Democratic Rep. John Yarmuth — aka, Congressman Awesome — is looking to go back to Congress for his fourth term, but must first dispatch the prototype perennial candidate with no chance, Burrel Charles Farnsley. Vegas odds say Yarmuth wins by at least 90 percent.
State Senate 19th
As we wrote two weeks ago, this Democratic primary is probably the biggest and most competitive race in Louisville. Morgan McGarvey is the assumed front-runner — with the biggest endorsements and a big wad of cash to blanket the airwaves with TV ads — but we wouldn’t count out Sarah Lynn Cunningham, who has enough money to blanket the 19th with mailers and big liberal endorsers (Rep. Jim Wayne, KFTC) along for the ride. Amy Shoemaker doesn’t have a lot of campaign funds, but is hoping her Fairness Campaign endorsement and word of mouth can help her pull off the shocker. Meanwhile, Gary Demling hopes that the 19th has an abnormally large demographic of golfers.
If you want to know more about the candidates’ policy positions and background, check out the LEO Q&A with the candidates in this week’s issue. And if you’ve ever wanted to know more about these candidates than you ever even imagined that you would ever want to know, be sure to check out LEO Weekly’s full Q&A with all four candidates posted here at Fatlip in installments throughout the next few days, discussing Frankfort, coal, tax reform, bridge tolls, gambling, payday loans, giant boats with dinosaurs on them… just about everything short of Rep. Stan Lee’s mustache.
State Senate 35th
Democratic incumbent Denise Harper Angel is hoping to win her third term as senator for this liberal district. She’s a big favorite to win, which is possibly why she decided to snub KFTC and not fill out their questionnaire — unlike her opponent, liberal activist and social media rabble rouser Curtis Morrison, who blasphemously refers to himself as “Senator Awesome.” Morrison hopes that his district has an abnormally large demographic of people who follow him on Twitter.
State Senate 37th
This Republican primary should have been interesting, but is a snoozer so far. Immigrant-obsessed former council member Doug Hawkins is back for another chance at the seat, which he lost to Sen. Perry Clark in 2008 in what was commonly known as “The Rumble in the Conspiracy Theory Jungle Full of Mexicans and Cruise Missiles.” He’s facing former 2010 mayoral candidate Chris Thieneman and born again Christian John Ygen, who has one of the strangest campaign websites you’ll ever see. There has been zero coverage of this race so far, making us wonder if the 37th has been sucked into some kind of black hole, or perhaps if the candidates had their jobs taken away by Mexicans. We were, however, able to find this picture of P Diddy’s playboy model sitting on Thieneman’s lap and tweeting out support for his campaign on Derby weekend, so apparently the primary hasn’t been called off.
State House 42nd
This is one of the stranger Democratic primaries you’ll ever see. Rep. Reginald Meeks is a longtime solidly liberal legislator in a solidly liberal district, and hasn’t drawn an opponent in years. But this year, he has a challenger… the founder and president of the Louisville Tea Party, Wendy Caswell. Huh? Yes, huh is right. Wendy seems to be very confused, but will likely snap out of it around 7:30 p.m. on election night.
State House 48th
GOP Rep. Bob DeWeese has represented the affluent East End for nearly 20 years, but he’s persona non grata among the new tri-cornered hat crowd. Long thought of as one of the most moderate Republicans in the House – just ask the KY Club for Growth – the vice president of the Louisville Tea Party, Scott Reed, is looking to put DeWeese into retirement. Despite the uproar of hyper-conservative activists, DeWeese is still the favorite to win, but this race remains one to watch.
Metro Council 1st
Councilwoman Attica Woodson Scott, appointed by the Metro Council last year, is seeking the validation of voters in the 1st District for the first time. She not only has the thumbs up from the council, but has the endorsement of just about every union in Louisville — probably because she’s fairly badass.
None of her opponents raised much money or have a strong base of support — though Steve Colston at least gets a tip of the hat for being the only candidate not to snub KFTC — but one was able to make an ass of himself. Ray “Sir Friendly” Barker — who correctly distanced himself from hate group president Frank Simon when LEO called him out on it last year — is giving Simon a big bear hug this week, in return for $1,000 worth of blood money. *Insert pun about getting a bad rap*
Metro Council 2nd
Incumbent Councilwoman Barbara Shanklin was well on her way to easily winning another term, until Mr. Klepal detailed how she’s a very… uh, forgiving grandma and boss towards her felonious grandson. Actually, considering her light competition in the race, she’s not really in much danger at all.
Metro Council 8th
Councilman Tom Owen seeks to remain the Obi-Wan Kenobi of the Highlands, but is facing a spirited challenge from Jefferson County Judge-Executive Bryan Mathews, who has actually raised more money than Owen. While Owen views himself as a savior for preservation by opposing Councilman David Yates proposed amendment to the landmarks ordinance, Mathews views Owen’s compromise amendment, and the subsequent delay of any votes on it until after the primary, as selling out preservationists. Owen remains a strong favorite. (Also running is Mason Roberts, an actuary for Humana.)
Metro Council 14th
This primary is four-wide on the right and five-wide on the left, with a crowded field looking to receive their party’s nomination and a change to replace retiring Bob Henderson. On the Democratic side, Cindi Fowler appears to be the favorite of party establishment, but in a race with turnout this small and so many candidates, anybody could win.
Metro Council 18th
Republican incumbent Jon Ackerson is still trying to pull the knife out of his back that was put there in January by his fellow party members on the council, as they took the rather bold step of endorsing one of his opponents, Marilyn Parker, and slamming Ackerson’s service on the council. To make matters even more interesting, Parker calls people a socialist or communist more than Joe McCarthy did back in his heyday, and loves a good “Obama is a secret Muslim out to destroy us from within” conspiracy theory. Odds are that Ackerman is doomed, and perhaps a communist.